baseball

The hot hand fallacy fallacy fallacy

You've probably heard of the hot hand fallacy. In many areas, but most famously in basketball, people have long believed in the hot hand: a player who made their last couple shots was more likely to make the next one as well. But a famous 1985 study, analyzing some in-game NBA data and some experiments with Cornell basketball players, found that there was no correlation between previous shots and the outcome of the next one -- there was no hot hand.